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夏季需求前景乐观 油价接近每桶70美元

   2021-05-06 互联网讯

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核心提示:   据路透社5月5日报道,随着美国和欧洲部分地区放松封锁,这预示着夏季燃料需求有望增加,抵消了对印度

   据路透社5月5日报道,随着美国和欧洲部分地区放松封锁,这预示着夏季燃料需求有望增加,抵消了对印度和日本感染病例增加的担忧,石油价格周三连续第三天上涨。

  格林尼治标准时间10:08,布伦特原油价格上涨93美分,至每桶69.81美元,涨幅1.4%。美国西德克萨斯中质原油(WTI)上涨85美分,至每桶66.54美元,涨幅1.3%。两种期货合约的日内交易均触及3月中旬以来的最高水平。

  石油经纪商PVM的斯蒂芬?布伦诺克(Stephen Brennock)表示:“油价回到每桶70美元的预期正在慢慢地成为现实。”

  在油价飙升之际,人们预计,随着西方经济体重现复苏,需求将保持强劲。的确,市场对今年夏季美国和欧洲燃料和能源使用量回升的预期很高。

  同时,原油价格也受到美国库存大幅下降的支撑。

  据两名市场消息人士称,美国石油协会(API)报告称,截至4月30日当周,原油库存减少770万桶,这是路透社调查分析师预期的三倍多。此外,汽油库存减少了530万桶。

  交易商正在等待美国能源信息署(EIA)的数据,看看官方数据是否会显示出如此大的降幅。联邦银行分析师Vivek Dhar在一份报告中称:"如果EIA证实了这个数据,这将是1月底以来的最大单周降幅。"

  另外,美国和欧洲新冠肺炎疫苗的推出,推动油价上涨至近两个月高位。

  欧元区商业活动上月加速,因欧元区占主导地位的服务业摆脱了新一轮封锁限制,恢复增长。德国商业银行分析师Eugen Weinberg称:"出行限制的部分解除,预期旅游业将在不久的将来恢复正常水平,加上每桶70美元这一重要心理关口的吸引力,都可能是价格上涨的原因。"

  这抵消了印度燃料需求下降的影响。要知道,印度是世界第三大石油消费国,目前正与新冠病例激增作斗争。不过,荷兰国际集团(ING Economics)的分析师在谈到印度的情况时表示:“如果我们最终看到了印度全国实施封锁,那么这可能会打击市场人气。”

  王佳晶 摘译自 路透社

  原文如下:

  Oil nears $70 as easing Western lockdowns boost summer demand outlook

  Oil prices rose for a third day on Wednesday as easing of lockdowns in the United States and parts of Europe heralded a boost in fuel demand in summer season and offset concerns about the rise of COVID-19 infections in India and Japan.

  Brent crude rose 93 cents, or 1.4%, to $69.81 a barrel at 1008 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude rose 85 cents, or 1.3%, to $66.54 a barrel.

  Both contracts hit the highest level since mid-March in intra-day trade.

  "A return to $70 oil is edging closer to becoming reality," said Stephen Brennock of oil broker PVM.

  "The jump in oil prices came amid expectations of strong demand as western economies reopen. Indeed, anticipation of a pick-up in fuel and energy usage in the United States and Europe over the summer months is running high," he said.

  Crude prices were also supported by a large fall in U.S. inventories.

  The American Petroleum Institute (API) industry group reported crude stockpiles fell by 7.7 million barrels in the week ended April 30, according to two market sources. That was more than triple the drawdown expected by analysts polled by Reuters. Gasoline stockpiles fell by 5.3 million barrels.

  Traders are awaiting data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration due at 10:30 a.m. EDT (1430 GMT) on Wednesday to see if official data shows such a large fall.

  "If confirmed by the EIA, that would mark the largest weekly fall in the official data since late January," Commonwealth Bank analyst Vivek Dhar said in a note.

  The rise in oil prices to nearly two-month highs has been supported by COVID-19 vaccine rollouts in the United States and Europe.

  Euro zone business activity accelerated last month as the bloc's dominant services industry shrugged off renewed lockdowns and returned to growth.

  "The partial lifting of mobility restrictions, the expectation that tourism will return in the near future, and the lure of the psychologically important $70 mark are all likely to have contributed to the price rise," Commerzbank analyst Eugen Weinberg said.

  This has offset a drop in fuel demand in India, the world's third-largest oil consumer, which is battling a surge in COVID-19 infections.

  "However, if we were to eventually see a national lockdown imposed, this would likely hit sentiment," ING Economics analysts said of the situation in India.



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