据世界石油网1月2日消息 预计欧佩克及其盟友下周开会时将恢复更多的石油供应，这突出表明该组织对全球需求前景的乐观态度。

根据彭博社的一项调查，由沙特阿拉伯和俄罗斯领导的23国联盟可能会继续进行另一次每月40万桶的增产。一些国家代表还表示，他们预计将于2月生效的提振措施将继续实施。

欧佩克及其合作伙伴认为，今年全球需求将继续复苏，而奥密克戎变体只带来了轻微的影响。他们的信心正在得到验证，因为亚洲主要消费国的交通繁忙和美国原油库存减少，使国际油价接近每桶80美元。

咨询公司Rapidan能源集团总裁、前白宫官员鲍勃·麦克纳利表示：“只要奥密克戎或宏观经济衰退不会再次压垮需求，市场就可以接受额外的石油?！?/p>

彭博社调查的16名分析师和交易员中，有15人预测，当欧佩克周二在线上开会时，产量增长将获得批准。根据彭博采用苹果公司截至12月27日的统计数据汇编的数据，燃料消耗指标表明，除一个主要亚洲国家外，其他所有国家的流动性都在逐月上升，产量可以被消耗。

增加供应还表明，利雅得继续关注影响其最大客户的通胀风险，上月默许了美国增加产量以降低失控汽油价格的呼吁。

虽然这一意外举动最初被交易员解读为看跌，但沙特能源部长Abdulaziz bin Salman通过决定欧佩克会议将在技术上保持会期来帮助提振市场情绪，从而允许欧佩克在必要时在短时间内逆转产量增长。

吴恒磊 编译自 世界石油

原文如下：

OPEC to increase oil output as 2022 demand confidence grows

OPEC and its allies are expected to revive more oil supplies when they meet next week, underscoring the group’s optimism in the outlook for global demand.

The 23-nation alliance led by Saudi Arabia and Russia is likely to proceed with another modest monthly hike of 400,000 barrels a day as it restores production halted during the pandemic, according to a Bloomberg survey. Several national delegates also said they expect the boost -- due to take effect in February -- will go ahead.

The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its partners see global demand continuing to recover this year, taking only a “mild” hit from the omicron variant. Their confidence is being validated as busy traffic across key Asian consuming countries and dwindling crude inventories in the U.S. buoy international prices near $80 a barrel.

“The market can take the extra oil, as long as omicron or a macro downturn don’t crush demand again,” said Bob McNally, president of consultant Rapidan Energy Group and a former White House official.

Fifteen of 16 analysts and traders surveyed by Bloomberg predicted the output increase will be approved when the coalition gathers online on Tuesday. Indicators on fuel consumption suggest the barrels can be absorbed, with all but one major Asian country registering a rise in mobility month-on-month, according to data compiled by Bloomberg using Apple Inc. statistics to Dec. 27.

Adding supplies would also show that Riyadh continues to be mindful of the inflationary risks afflicting their biggest customers, having acquiesced last month to U.S. 's calls for extra production to cool runaway gasoline prices.

While that surprise move was initially read as bearish by traders, Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman helped to shore up market sentiment by resolving that OPEC’s meeting would remain technically “in session” -- allowing it to reverse the output increase at short notice if needed.

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