据美国油价网报道，石油输出国组织(OPEC/欧佩克)1月份的原油平均日产量仅增加了21万桶，再次未能达到自己的原油产量目标。

从月度角度来看，欧佩克+的原油平均日产量只增加了21万桶，而不是欧佩克+联盟此前同意的日增40万桶的原油产量，这导致该联盟1月份原油平均日产量缺口达到19万桶。 

但欧佩克+1月份的实际原油产量的缺口要大得多。回顾一下欧佩克的基本产量，并考虑到每个月计划增加的产量，欧佩克1月份的减产显示出更大的缺口。

欧佩克1月份实际减产仍达280.3万桶/天，低于欧佩克同意减产时的基本水平。 相比之下，1月份的减产承诺为212.9万桶/天。这相当于1月份比欧佩克已同意的减产量多67.4万桶/天。

就实际产量而言，欧佩克去年12月份的原油日产量为2780万桶，今年1月份的原油日产量为2801万桶。 值得注意的是，1月份沙特阿拉伯日增10万桶、尼日利亚日增5万桶、阿联酋和科威特日增4万桶。 这些产量的增加被伊拉克(日减3万桶)等减产部分抵消。 

如果我们开始观察减产的开始，只有两个欧佩克成员国的产量高于他们1月份的目标，那就是阿尔及利亚和加蓬。 按百分比计算，1月份原油产量不足，未能达到增产目标的成员国包括安哥拉、刚果、赤道几内亚和尼日利亚。  

然而，在所有欧佩克成员国中，沙特阿拉伯将在未来产量增加的过程中，能够向市场补充最多的原油。 根据路透社的数据，沙特阿拉伯仍具有向市场再提供87.8万桶/天原油的潜力。  

李峻 编译自 美国油价网

原文如下：

OPEC+ Fails To Reach Production Targets In January

OPEC has again failed to meet its own production targets again in January as the group lifted production only 210,000 additional barrels per day for the month.

Looking at this through a monthly lens, the group increased production by just 210,000 bpd instead of the 400,000 bpd increased production that the alliance agreed to—creating a January shortfall of 190,000 barrels per day.

But the real shortfall is much larger.

Looking back at the base amounts that OPEC is working with, and factoring in each month’s planned increased production, January production cuts from OPEC show a much larger shortfall.

OPEC’s actual January production cuts still amounted to 2.803 million barrels per day short of the base levels when OPEC agreed to the cuts. This compares to the pledged cut for January of 2.129 million bpd.

This equates to an extra 674,000 bpd in cuts for January than what OPEC has agreed to.

In terms of actual production, OPEC produced 27.8 million bpd in December, lifting this to 28.01 million bpd in January. Noteworthy increases came from Saudi Arabia (+100,000 bpd), Nigeria (+50,000 bpd), and the UAE and Kuwait (+40,000 bpd each). These production gains were partially offset by decreased output by Iraq (-30,000 bpd).

If we start looking at the beginning of the cuts, there are only two OPEC members that are producing above their January target, and that’s Algeria and Gabon. The largest under producers, in terms of percentages—or rather those missing their ramp-up targets more than anyone else—include Angola, Congo, Equatorial Guinea, and Nigeria.

Of all the OPEC members, it is Saudi Arabia, however, that has the most in terms of numbers of barrels to add back into the market as part of the future production ramp up. According to Reuters figures, Saudi Arabia still has 878,000 bpd to add back into the market.

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