据经济时报2月22日消息：印度政府的初步估计显示，在4月1日开始的下一财年，印度燃料需求可能会增长5.5%，反映出这个亚洲第三大经济体的工业活动和流动性在经历数月的停滞后有所回升。

根据政府预测，印度2022年-2023年的燃料消耗(反映石油需求的指标)可能升至2.145亿吨，高于截至2022年3月的当前财年修正后的2.033亿吨。

这些估计是在联邦石油部下属的石油规划和分析小组(PPAC)的网站上发布的。

数据显示，当地对主要用于乘用车的汽油需求预计将增长7.8%，至3330万吨，而柴油消费量预计将增长约4%，至7930万吨。

航空燃料消费量可能会增加近50%，达到760万吨，而截至2022年3月的年度修正估计为510万吨。

PPAC说，石油焦的需求可能增长2.8%，至1,480万吨，而用作烹饪燃料的液化石油气需求预计将增长4.5%，至2,970万吨。石油焦是一种燃烧效果更好的煤炭替代品。

冯娟 摘译自 经济时报

原文如下：

India expects fuel demand to grow 5.5% in next fiscal year

India's fuel demand is likely to grow 5.5% in the next fiscal year beginning April 1, initial government estimates show, reflecting a pick-up in industrial activity and mobility in Asia's third largest economy after months of stagnation.

India's fuel consumption in 2022-23, a proxy for oil demand, could rise to 214.5 million tonnes from the revised estimates of 203.3 million tonnes for the current fiscal year ending March 2022, according to governmentforecasts.

The estimates were released on the website of the Petroleum Planning and Analysis Cell (PPAC), a unit of the federal oil ministry.

Local demand for gasoline, used mainly in passenger vehicles, is expected to rise by 7.8% to 33.3 million tonnes, while gasoil consumption was slated grow by about 4% to 79.3 million tonnes, the data showed.

Consumption of aviation fuel would likely increase by nearly 50% to 7.6 million tonnes, compared with the revised estimate of 5.1 million tonnes for the year ending March 2022.

Demand for petcoke, a better-burning alternative to coal, could increase 2.8% to 14.8 million tonnes, while demand for liquefied petroleum gas, used as cooking fuel, is estimated to grow 4.5% to 29.7 million tonnes, PPAC said.

The table below shows the government's estimates for the fiscal years ending March 2022 and March 2023.