据能源网8月12日伦敦报道，据国际能源署（IEA）称，由于剩余产能有限，OPEC+在未来几个月不太可能增加产量。

此外，IEA还表示，随着产能大国石油产量下降，9月份承诺的“象征性地”日增产10万桶，实际上可能会变成减产。

IEA周四在月度报告中表示，主要由沙特阿拉伯和阿拉伯联合酋长国持有的运营闲置产能水平相对较低，因此几乎排除了欧佩克+在未来几个月进一步大幅增产的可能性。

就能源政策向主要发达经济体提供建议的这家总部位于巴黎的组织，其前景显示，今年下半年满足全球石油需求增长的负担将落在石油输出国组织及其盟国以外的国家身上。

根据IEA的数据显示，非欧佩克+产油国的原油日供应量预计今年将增加170万桶，明年将增加190万桶。

与去年相比，这是一个显著的增长，但仍低于2022年和2023年预计的210万桶/天的需求增长。

郝芬 译自 能源网

原文如下:

IEA Sees Little Chance That OPEC+ Will Supply More Oil -Bloomberg

OPEC+ is unlikely to increase output in the coming months because of limited spare capacity, according to the International Energy Agency.

Furthermore, the “largely symbolic” 100,000 barrel-a-day hike promised for September may actually turn into a cut as the larger producer's production declines, the IEA said.

“Comparatively low levels of operational spare production capacity, held mainly by Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, may thus all but rule out substantial further OPEC+ output increases in the coming months,” the IEA said in its monthly report on Thursday.

The outlook from the Paris-based organization that advises major developed economies on energy policy suggests the burden of satisfying global oil demand growth in the latter part of the year will fall on countries outside the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies.

Non-OPEC+ supply is projected to rise by 1.7 million barrels a day this year and 1.9 million next year, according to the IEA. That’s a significant acceleration compared with last year, but still falls short of 2.1 million barrels a day of demand growth expected in 2022 and 2023.